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Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?

Name: Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
Creator: Tellmarket

Republican Party

Kcloses Feb 1, 2027·active

prices as of 32s ago · live from Kalshi & Polymarket

last arb · Jul 6+2.38% net

buy KYES42.1¢size up to $1,169

buy PNO55.5¢on Polymarket

cost97.6¢guaranteed $1 payout

edge2.4¢P/L ~ $28

YES

57¢

bid 56¢ · 678 avail

44¢

bid 43¢ · 54235 avail

cross-platform · same questiongap 2.5¢

kalshi · this

56.5¢

polymarket · paired

54.0¢

cheaper YES on polymarket · see all live divergences on /gaps

view paired market on polymarket→

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

YES price · both exchanges

Δ 2.0¢· 2.0% net

no price movement across captured snapshots · price held at 57¢

kalshi

polymarket

high57¢

low57¢

last57¢

edge history

1 edge caughtbest +3.39%last 5d ago

see all live edges →

live edges · Kalshi × Polymarket →guide: Kalshi vs Polymarket →

open on kalshi →

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tellmarketTM:US