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Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Pcloses Dec 31, 2026·active
YES
illiquid
no resting orders
market illiquid · prices will return when bids/asks appear
NO
illiquid
no resting orders
market illiquid · prices will return when bids/asks appear
paired on kalshi
Will President Trump resign before his term is up?
YES price · both exchanges
waiting on paired snapshot
no price movement across captured snapshots · price held at 20¢
20¢
polymarket
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